CCMC CME Scoreboard
Prediction for CME (2026-05-11T22:00:00-CME-001)
CME Observed Time: 2026-05-11T22:00ZDONKI Link: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/46114/-1
CME Note: This CME is visible to the northeast in SOHO LASCO C2/C3 and GOES CCOR-1 imagery. This event is not seen in STEREO A COR2 in real-time due to a data gap starting at 2026-05-11T20:53Z. The source is likely related to an eruption from Active Region 14436 (N17E49) starting around 2026-05-11T20:30Z seen in SDO AIA 131/171/193/304 and GOES SUVI 131/171/195/284/304 imagery.
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2026-05-14T00:00Z (-7.0h, +7.0h)
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 3.0 - 4.0
Prediction Method: WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NASA M2M)
Prediction Method Note:
https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/WSA-ENLIL/46116/1 Model Inputs: 2026-05-11T22:00:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=-49.0, Lat.=12.0, Speed=369.0, HalfAngle=21.0, Time21.5=2026-05-12T07:12Z Model Output: Earth Impact: Earth Shock Arrival Time = 2026-05-14T00:00Z (+- 7 hours) (kp)90=3 (kp)180=4 Other Location(s) Impact: Inner Planets Link = https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/api/redirect?filename=20260512_071200_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif Inner Planets Link = https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/api/redirect?filename=20260512_071200_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif Inner Planets Link = https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/api/redirect?filename=20260512_071200_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif Inner Planets Link = https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/api/redirect?filename=20260512_071200_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif Timelines Link = https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/api/redirect?filename=20260512_071200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif Timelines Link = https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/api/redirect?filename=20260512_071200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Kp_timeline.gif Timelines Link = https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/api/redirect?filename=20260512_071200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif Timelines Link = https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/api/redirect?filename=20260512_071200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_PSP_timeline.gif Timelines Link = https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/api/redirect?filename=20260512_071200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_SolO_timeline.gif Timelines Link = https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/api/redirect?filename=20260512_071200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Merc_timeline.gif Timelines Link = https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/api/redirect?filename=20260512_071200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Mars_timeline.gif Timelines Link = https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/api/redirect?filename=20260512_071200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Bepi_timeline.gif Timelines Link = https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/api/redirect?filename=20260512_071200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Venus_timeline.gif Timelines Link = https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/api/redirect?filename=20260512_071200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Juice_timeline.gif Timelines Link = https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/api/redirect?filename=20260512_071200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Psyche_timeline.gif Timelines Link = https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/api/redirect?filename=20260512_071200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Osiris_timeline.gif Timelines Link = https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/api/redirect?filename=20260512_071200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_EuropaClippr_timeline.gifLead Time: 47.68 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Mattie Anastopulos (M2M SWAO) on 2026-05-12T00:19Z
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